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The Markets

Chart comments and fundamental notes for the markets below -

Grains & Cotton >
November 10, 2009

Livestock & Lumber >
November 20, 2009

Softs >
November 20, 2009

Metals >
November 19, 2009

Energies >
November 19, 2009

Financials >
November 6, 2009

Currencies >
November 16, 2009

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Friday, November 20, 2009

U.S. Economy
Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Plosser said that it is still too early to raise interest rates, but also said that he is cautiously optimistic and that things may change around the middle of 2010. The December 2010 eurodollars ended down .01 at 98.82.

Grains and Cotton
The USDA said that Mexico bought 458,750 tons of U.S. corn for this season and another 275,250 tons for 2010-2011. December corn finished down 4 cents at $3.91.

You have to admit, this is impressive: March cotton closed up 1.07 cents at 74.04, the highest close in fourteen months with help from a wet fall and weak U.S. dollar.

Livestock
The USDA said that beef production totaled 2.28 billion pounds in October, down 3% from a year ago. Pork production totaled 2.09 billion pounds, down 3% from a year ago. February cattle ended up .05 at 85.42.

After the close, the USDA said that there were 11.134 million head of cattle on feed on November 1st, up 1.5% from a year ago and roughly as expected. Placements in October were up 1% while marketings were down 3%.

After the close, the USDA said that there were 37.0 million pounds of frozen pork bellies in storage on October 31st, up 71% from a year ago and more than expected. Frozen pork supplies totaled 520 million pounds, down 1% from a year ago and less than expected. February hogs closed up 1.10 at 64.37, helped by profitable packer margins.

After the close, the USDA estimated this week's beef production at 492.8 million pounds, down .5% from a year ago. Pork production was estimated at 475.3 million pounds, down 1.1% from a year ago.

Lumber
January lumber dropped $6.90 to $222.20, still hurting from Wednesday's poor housing starts figures.

Sugar
Late yesterday, the USDA estimated 2009-2010 world sugar production at 153.5 million tons, up 6.8% from the previous year. They also said that 2009-2010 ending stocks will fall 1.6 million tons to 26.0 million tons, or 17% of implied total use, the lowest ratio since 1993-1994. March sugar fell .27 to 22.47.

Orange juice
After the close, the USDA said that there were 1.12 billion pounds of frozen orange juice concentrate in storage on October 31st, up 3% from a year ago. January orange juice was down 1.30 cents at $1.1265.

Metals - Another New High for Gold
February gold ended the day up $4.80 at another new contract high of $1,148.20.

Currencies
European Central Bank President Trichet said in a speech last night that it is time to pull back some of the emergency measures that gave the markets extra liquidity in its time of crisis.

The Bank of Japan met today and kept its interest rate unchanged at .1%, as expected. The Bank also upgraded its assessment of the economy, thanks to an increase in exports. The December yen ended up .0005 at 1.1242.


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(Possible) Market-Moving News of 2009:

November 3 - IMF sells 200 tons of gold to the Reserve Bank of India. Gold hits new record high.

October 30 - Japan's unemployment rate improved from 5.5% to 5.3% in September, the best in four months.

October 29 - Chinese officials agreed to end their six-month ban on U.S. pork imports.

October 9 - USDA: Florida's 2009-2010 orange crop estimate at 136 million boxes, less than expected.

October 9 - Canada's unemployment rate unexpectedly improved from 8.7% to 8.4% in September, the first decline since last fall.

October 8 - ICSG est.: World copper production surplus of 539,000 tons in 2010, up from their April estimate of 400,000 tons.

September 18 - USDA: 492,529 acres of commercial orange trees in Florida, down 1% from a year ago and the lowest total since 1986.

September 11 - First mention of severe drought conditions affecting China's corn crop.

August 21 - This week, Warren Buffett, Joseph Stiglitz, and PIMCO's El Erian all made negative comments about the U.S. dollar.

August 19 - The World Gold Council said that central banks bought 14 tons of gold in the second quarter of 2009 - "the first net purchase by central banks for a considerable length of time."

August 13 - France and Germany surprise markets with .3% positive growth in the second quarter.

August 7 - First improvement in the U.S. unemployment rate since April of 2008.

July 27 - U.S. new home sales up 11% in June, much better than expected.

July 24 - Lowest U.S. cattle inventory in 36 years and lowest cattle on-feed available in 10 years.

June 30 - USDA: 87.04 million planted corn acres, +1% from a year ago, the second most acres since 1946, and much more than expected.

May 26 - India bans futures trading in sugar contracts.

May 21 - USDA estimates that 2009-2010 world ending stocks of sugar will total 19% of annual use, the lowest in 16 years.

May 4 - China's manufacturing index confirms first expansion in nine months.

April 27 - World Health Organization declares swine flu outbreak an international health emergency.

April 22 - China imports record high 296,843 tons of copper in March.

March 18 - Fed will buy $300 billion in Treasuries and $750 billion of mortgage securities.

March 10 - Surprise profit at Citigroup.

At the end of the day,
no matter which of the timid health care proposals pass, the CEO's of private insurance corporations will still profit handsomely from denying people the medical services that they need. Patients and their doctors have little say in the matter. That is beyond bad incentive... Who are we?


Why are banks still permitted to trade derivatives?
The U.S. financial system will never be sound until bankers are banned from making high-leverage, unsecured bets with our government-insured deposits.

Top News Articles

Public Healthcare - Why So Scared?

Friday, November 20

Not Yet Time to Raise Rates: Fed's Plosser


Europe: Drop some financial system crutches


Sugar to Remain 'Firm,' Australia's Top Exporter Says


Is the Fed Creating New Bubbles?


U.S. layoffs fall in October


Big shareholders ask Goldman to cut bonuses: report


U.K. May Have Turned Corner, Pound to Spur Recovery, Gieve Says


Deflation returns to Japan's economy


China's golden move


Aussie dollar 'will peak at US$1.03'


China rejects call for WTO panel on export limits


Russia agrees to ease Ukraine gas supply terms

Thursday, November 19

U.S. foreclosures, delinquencies jump in 3rd quarter


Soybeans May Rally 20% on Chinese Demand, Group Says


Pimco's Gross does not see rate rise soon


Gold demand falls 34 percent in Q3 (from year ago): World Gold Council


Recovery still too timid to halt rising unemployment, says OECD Economic Outlook


Widespread Rains In The Southeast, Warmer Than Normal On The Plains


What Geithner Got Right


Seeking 'holy grail': a solution to storing wind power


Australia outperforming the world, says Swan

Wednesday, November 18

What They Really Believe

Five Star Articles

The New Sputnik

Moyers Interview with Wendell Potter (video)

Canadian Health Care Tops U.S. in Studies Showing Wait Worth It

The Banks Are Not Alright

Health Care That Works

How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?

How the collapse of Lehman Brothers pushed capitalism to the brink

The Vote That Changed Our World - The Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999

Canadian Banks: A better system

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